I got a call from an acquaintance a while back. He said, ‘Do you remember the conversation we had about Africa? Well, I checked my e-mail and found, unbelievably, that I won an international lottery which originated in Africa. I’m just convinced that everything happens for a reason, aren’t you?’
Before I responded, I thought about this a moment. ‘You know, maybe you’re right. Everything does happen for a reason. It’s a very fortuitous thing that you called me today to tell me about this, for example.’ I went on to explain that these international lotteries are a scam, none of them are real, and that it’s a good thing he called to tell me about it so that I could explain the scam to him.
This conversation made me stop and really think about how people are looking for supporting evidence for what they want in their environment. In this case, my acquaintance saw our conversation about Africa as supporting evidence, or a coincidence, when he received the e-mail about winning the lottery from Africa. He added two and two together, but came up with a wrong answer.
I didn’t like bursting his bubble, but...